About Gary Leff

Gary Leff is one of the foremost experts in the field of miles, points, and frequent business travel - a topic he has covered since 2002. Co-founder of frequent flyer community InsideFlyer.com, emcee of the Freddie Awards, and named one of the "World's Top Travel Experts" by Conde' Nast Traveler (2010-Present) Gary has been a guest on most major news media, profiled in several top print publications, and published broadly on the topic of consumer loyalty. More About Gary »

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  1. Excellent analysis.

    Too little too late for Isom. But finding the next person for the chair is critical. So we can all expect mid speeches like this while, hopefully, the board goes and does its job.

    You would think putting in more MCE would be the easiest hard product fix. But easier said than done, I suppose. Culture is what is really needed, but that starts from the top.

  2. I’m glad Gary included the term ‘financialization,’ because I’ve noticed recently that it is both a ‘buzzword’ and also also apt. It’s money making money off of money, but really it’s all a farce. Matthew McConaughey’s character in The Wolf of Wall Street described it best: “Fugayzi, fugazi. It’s a whazy. It’s a woozie. It’s fairy dust. It doesn’t exist…”

    We’re simply not making stuff anymore. We’re hardly serving most people much, either. Consider yourself lucky if your flights are relatively on-time (like, within several hours), and if not, psh, no protections, good luck to you, certainly no EU261 or APPR equivalent in the US.

    It’s the workers, consumers, and actual taxpayers (most wage-workers, hardly the capital-gains folks, certainly not the mega-corporations) paying the price for this grift. And, if there is profit, we’ll play an accounting trick to deny sharing it with anyone who made it possible. Gotcha!

    Management, like Isom, are the mere mercenaries for these parasitic kleptocrats, who have fleeced us all, while they pay near-no taxes and live on mega-yachts and throw stones at us all from their white houses. Anyway, enjoy a culture-war distraction instead of doing anything about all this.

    Unrelated, but when’ll be the next bailout and stock-buyback scheme for these airlines? Do we need another tragedy to force that through? Probably.

  3. As noted the blunders are many and will take years and huge investments to correct. The BOD has shown themselves not to be interested in taking on initiatives with risk involved. For example possibly de-Oasis the fleet or at least add more MCE seats. Or spend money in approving technology and operations to reduce delays and speed up operational recovery.

    So, it’s total bs moves like better coffee and spending a buck more on wine in business class. And the dolts on travel sites eat it up as though most people go from Point A to Point B based on a desire to drink wine. Meanwhile passengers see their connecting flight push off a gate while their a/c sits on the tarmac with no gate to go to.

  4. 1990
    to your final question, with WN beginning to make real progress to its financial turnaround, it becomes increasingly obvious that it is a small subset of the industry – AA among the big 4, B6 among the LCCs and the ULCCs that have business models and execution of them that don’t work.

    There could be another black swan event at any time. UA is trying to push AA over the edge but there is no doubt that AA is incredibly exposed to risk whether it is competitive or black swan.

    Hopefully there are no black swan events but even more so that market forces are allowed to sort out whatever happens. We have dealt with 5 years of domestic overcapacity because the government bailed out the airline industry instead of letting a few airlines fail.

    Nothing Isom has laid out is enough to meaningfully turn the company around. They likely can continue to skim above the surface but not become long-term viable. It is far from clear that anyone can turn AA around after years of so many strategic mistakes. AA has far more assets and history than WN and yet Elliott picked WN and WN is making solid progress to becoming financially strong again.

    The fact that the board is willing to support Bobby Ice likely says they don’t have a plan to really make AA long term viable and are content w/ skimming above the water.

  5. @George Romey — You’re right on this at least. And, as a Key, you’d know it. Also, you’re gonna make @Peter’s day with that ‘more MCE’ talk. By ‘de-Oasis’-ing, are you suggesting adding IFE? A few sycophants pretend as if lack of seatback screens are ‘just fine,’ when, in reality, it’s cheap.

  6. Isom was never the right guy. He needs to go and of course he will ride off into the sunset with millions in his pocket and first class positive space for he and his family. Coach is Coach. I don’t think there is any difference really between the big 3 and SWA. Again give me high speed WiFi. Could care less about the seat back screens as they get scratched up and fade anyway.

  7. @Tim Dunn — For the past two-plus decades, it’s felt like more black swans than white swans… I’m not sure more private equity or hedge funds investing in any particular airline is a good sign. They’re not there for the longevity of the business, its fundamentals, its people. They’re there to make a quick buck, and leave a mess for someone else to pick up. If Elliott (mis)Management comes knocking on Delta’s door, keep it locked, sir.

  8. @Coffee Please — That’s the thing… coach isn’t just coach. Still wildly different experiences depending on the airline, routing, etc.

    Like, for on-board passenger experience in Economy, please, if they could all be jetBlue that’d be swell. Ample legroom (mostly 32″ pitch), IFE screens (220, 321, etc.), free WiFi, and better snacks (uh oh, no Coca-Cola, though). But, B6 doesn’t have any lounges (ok, fine, JFK T5 just opened, but hardly anyone gets access). And reliability is an issue (regular 3 hour delays are not reasonable.)

    Meanwhile, Delta mostly has the same IFE, WiFi, and decent snacks (Coke, they are from ATL, after all), the pitch isn’t always ideal (closer to 30″ way back, and you do feel that in the knees). United is coming along with more IFE, but no free WiFi yet, though they do sometimes have stroopwaffles, so I can forgive them. American mostly gave up on IFE, and finally has free WiFi. Alaska apparently hates both IFE and free WiFi. Southwest doesn’t have WiFi or IFE, either, used to have free seating and 2 checked bags, now charges, and their fares are often more expensive than DL, UA, AA these days! (lame, lame, lame).

    Finally, shall we go over NK, F9, G4, etc.? LCC seats are under 30″, no IFE, no WiFi (unless you’ve got a special T-Mobile thing going on), nickel and dime for everything, and are less reliable. But, heh, at least Frontier is joining Spirit in adding a few recliners up-front.

  9. @1990

    Thanks for breaking that out. Besides the seat back screens, and maybe more passes in the cabin by the JBLU F/A’s it all appears to be the same to me except for F9 and NK.

  10. If the union members would just do the jobs they’re being paid to do, the AA ship could be righted in short order.

  11. Private equity isn’t going to come to DL because there is not any evidence that anyone can unlock more equity than DL mgmt is already doing.

    NW was the target of an LBO because it was generating lots of cash but not investing in the business; the LBO forced NW to pay down huge amounts of debt. The lesson is for airlines to invest in the business.

    WN rolled out the red carpet for Elliott because WN had a very strong balance sheet but underperformed operationally and financially
    As much as you and others will fight acknowledging it, Elliott has probably achieved what WN could not do – which is return the company to a viably strong economic position. Giving away great products is no more of a good thing or sustainable for WN than it is for B6 or NK or F9.

    AA has no savior to do for it what Elliott did for WN – and that IS the reason for real concern.

    AA is, at best, doing incremental improvements that are not likely to do what AA needs to become sustainably viable
    Isom and the board know that and are not likely to upset what has been the status quo even if there aren’t good, smart people that are starting to chip away at what has hurt AA for two decades.

  12. Okay Jeff.. the roof isn’t caving in just yet. My wife and I had a very good experience on AA when we flew business class to Seoul, Korea last November. The Flagship lounge at DFW was a wonderful place to relax and spend time prior to boarding. Food and beverage were excellent. The flight itself was great with friendly FA’s and nicely prepared meals. Left on time and arrived at ICN 45 minutes early.

    In contrast… we flew Air Canada business class to YVR when we departed Seoul and the FA’s weren’t nearly as friendly and the food was just kind of so-so.

    Neither flight had a working internet service.

  13. I have said before that when AA decided to retire its older widebodies, it was a smart decision. Traffic came back slowly after the tech crash of 2000 and 9/11, as well as the financial markets collapse of 2008. Wall Street analysts were completely surprised that leisure travel bounced back so quickly and so strong, and that so many people decided to go premium. Hotel companies say that their luxury brands are doing very well, while limited service brands (think Hampton and Fairfield) aren’t doing as well.

    That said, I have discussed Isom’s performance with a long-time AA pilot. He believes that if Q1 of 2026 does not see outstanding numbers, the Board will fire Isom.

    Too many employees are grouping that Elliott Investment should have taken a position in American rather than Southwest, because they think AA was in worse shape than Southwest.

  14. “Our new card partnership with Citi, which started in January, is key to unlocking future growth and revenue, and that’s a big deal.”

    OK AA, make my Citi Exec card worth more than only an AC membership. Give me reasons to spend with it.

  15. Gary,
    yes, WN had and still has a decent balance sheet but the prospect of a big earnings turnaround is what has sent WN’s stock up 30% just since the beginning of the year and 80% over the past year.

    No one can do that for AA because there just aren’t a bunch of major strategic changes that AA can make.

    It says volumes that NW and WN can attract private equity trying to force change but AA has attracted no one.
    Nobody including AA’s board sees a quick fix – or a bunch of quick fixes – that will fix the company

  16. Keep in mind, there are literally thousands of Gate Agents and Ramp Agents that deal with the fallout of bad management. Both pilots and FA’s have been sabotaging operations over the last month since the last weather disruption. Pilots and cabin crews have been calling out sick, claiming fatigue, or intentionally timing out flights.
    Customers are frustrated, they attack the workers that have no control over the conflict of the unions and the company management. There are no winners here.

  17. Robert is an incompetent executive with an extremely big airline that he doesn’t have a clue how to run. He might be good for something like Cape Air I am still not sure if that still to big for him.

  18. If they want to continue customer loyalty they need to stop taking away the perks such as mileage awards from the very people who they say they are dedicated to. The bar for awards is constantly being raised. They just recently took away mileage awards to certain seat classes. They need to give passengers a reason to stay loyal, not just even with other carriers.

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