United Jet Diverted After Captain Feared Space Debris Cracked His Cockpit Windshield — It Was a Balloon

The Captain of the United Airlines Boeing 737 that diverted to Salt Lake City on Thursday reportedly thought his plane was hit by space debris. JonNYC was first to report this theory, along with photos of damage to the cockpit’s windshield and photos of the captain’s arm that sustained an injury. It looks like we now have an explanation for the impact.

Much of the world seemed to be blaming Elon Musk for a SpaceX satellite. Space debris is a defunct human-made object in Earth’s orbit—such as inactive satellites, spent rocket stages, and fragments from collisions or explosions—that no longer serve a purpose and may eventually fall back into Earth’s atmosphere. These can be like loose pebbles hitting your windshield on the highway, only here it was a cockpit windshield that cracked at 36,000 feet.

I was initially skeptical of the space debris hypothesis.

  • The odds of space debris are incredibly low. An actual passenger injury from space debris has been deemed by the FAA to be less than a one in a trillion event.

  • The captain reported seeing the incoming object just before impact. That made me even more skeptical, believing that if it were debris it would be tiny and dark by the time it reached the plane’s altitude, and wouldn’t reflect much light, likely blending into the sky and moving incredibly fast.

    By the time it was close enough to see, it would have already hit (a fraction of a second between being visible and impact at most). The captain would have to have been staring at exactly the right spot at exactly the right time to see it.

We now appear to know that it was a ballon that impacted the jet, not space debris. It was likely a Windborne Systems weather balloon. Windborne is taking responsibility.

WindBorne Systems deploys high-altitude balloons (‘Global Sounding Balloons’) paired with an AI forecasting system to gather real-time data from extreme storms and feed their machine-learning model. They believe they can extend forecasting horizons to 21 days with improved accuracy. Google’s DeepMind, Microsoft, and NVIDIA are all involved in AI weather forecasting. Windborne focuses on acquiring high resolution data from within storms (think 1996’s Twister but at altitude).

They have a huge network that they launch into the sky:

Windborne communicates with the FAA, and designs their balloons not to pose risk to aircraft or passengers. However the impact to cockpit glass appears to have caused shards inside the cockpit to injure the captain. There are going to be lessons learned from this event both in terms of better avoiding conflict with aircraft, and in terms of safety in the event of an impact, because there are only going to be more objects flying through the atmosphere over time.

About Gary Leff

Gary Leff is one of the foremost experts in the field of miles, points, and frequent business travel - a topic he has covered since 2002. Co-founder of frequent flyer community InsideFlyer.com, emcee of the Freddie Awards, and named one of the "World's Top Travel Experts" by Conde' Nast Traveler (2010-Present) Gary has been a guest on most major news media, profiled in several top print publications, and published broadly on the topic of consumer loyalty. More About Gary »

More articles by Gary Leff »

Comments

  1. (I know it wasn’t literally the CCP… or was it… who ‘funds’ Windborne… just asking questions…)

  2. Much of the world seemed to be blaming Elon Musk for a SpaceX satellite.

    I blame him on general principles, and am usually proven right by events.

  3. If there was a NOTAM, how did that get missed?

    (I have a feeling we know the answer to this already. The question is whether anyone will do anything to change it. UA certainly has incentive to, now that it’s costing them significant money to repair this plane.)

  4. What is a NOTAM going to do, especially if postilion reports are 5 to 10 minutes delayed? Captain is supposed to “see and avoid” a tiny dot at 500+ mph? The plane is flying an altitude and heading assigned by ATC on published routes. Balloon’s flight is unpredictable and pushed by the winds they are trying to measure.

    How about ADS-B attached to the balloon?

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *