Southwest Airlines changes – basic economy, bag fees, paid assigned seats, expiring travel credits and a devalued Rapid Rewards program – are the result of activist investor Elliott Management taking a significant stake in the airline and pushing for its own board members. They wanted the carrier selling planes and leasing them back, leveraging the airline’s balance sheet to fund stock buybacks. They got what they wanted, and a short-term bump in share price.
- They began selling shares in December and filed an SEC schedule 13D on February 2 reporting that they’d reduced their holdings to 9% of the company (albeit a 10.7% combined economic exposure including cash-settled swaps and swap-call options).
- At peak, they had a 16% economic interest in a September 16, 2025 disclosure.
Now that their ownership interest has fallen, it’s no longer appropriate to exercise the same degree of control over the company, and two of their board members have resigned – and will not be replaced.
David Cush and Gregg Saretsky have informed the Company that they are stepping off the Board effective Feb. 23, 2026….in connection with the departures of Cush and Saretsky, the Board intends to reduce its size from 13 to 11 members.

The damage, of course, is done. Southwest had its first layoff in company history. Yet profits fell in 2025 rescued from losses by cheap jet fuel and accounting games with Chase credit card revenue.
You would not expect a strategy of taking the most financially successful airline in history, discarding everything unique about their business model, and copying financial laggards JetBlue and American – but worse because they lack AC seat power, seat back entertainment, functional wifi, first class, lounges (yet!) and ovens for hotel meals on board – to a recipe for success.

Southwest Airlines was insular and bloated. They were slow-moving. There are changes they needed to make to their business for a long time. For instance, sticking to just Boeing 737-700 and -800 aircraft (including the MAX) doesn’t let them serve enough markets or feed enough passengers. Not selling tickets through online travel agencies was a mistake.
- They were losing out on a lot of customers, for instance anyone with American Express points or Citi points booking through those bank portals. That alone had to be at least 5 to 8 points of load factor.
- And they were unusually dependent on passengers on one side of most of their routes. For a flight between Dallas and Sarasota, Savannah or Syracuse, instead of traffic being evenly split between passengers from both ends of the route they were heavily skewed to Dallas passengers only because that’s who knew to go to Southwest Airlines to search for flights. They lost anyone looking up flights on Expedia.
- Of course, once they add third party distribution they’re comparing their fares against competitors. And Southwest, with bag fees bundled, was often more expensive! And then there’s a natural drive to unbundle (basic economy), especially since the Department of Transportation rule requiring displaying airfares with the cost of a checked bag was enjoined by the courts. They hadn’t innovated, they were stuck in a tough spot, and they had no other ideas but copying everyone else – and Elliott Management didn’t, either.

They don’t fly long haul international and didn’t have partners, which meant they didn’t just lose the business of their customers when those customers flew abroad (and many chose to give other airlines their business because they could use all of their flying to earn status that way) but they also couldn’t offer Europe and beyond as an enticement to frequent flyers to get and spend on their credit card. So they were losing out on revenue that’s fueling profits for the rest of the industry.
Southwest needed to make changes but they didn’t need to give up what made them special. And though the airline will keep spinning that everything they do is successful (just as they did before making these changes!), their activist investor is selling off at what could be the top.


Sounds like the Carl Icahn/TWA playbook
Mission Accomplished!
At Oakland, the plan is clear: Raise fares on any market where competitors are absent. When demand drops, reduce the schedule. Rinse and repeat (Some shrinkage may occur).
If enough new customers who avoided open seating show up, Southwest wins. If not…
Prediction: 6 months from now, SW and AA file Chapter 11 (or sooner).
Southwest flights are still not available on the AmEx online travel portal – any indications that could be coming any time soon?
Maybe it’s just me, but this seems a lot like what Carl Ichan did with TWA. Not that he was the first, nor was he the last.
As everyone who isn’t a shill predicted…
So did Elliott make money on this whole expedition?
I don’t own any LUV stock, but if I did, I would bail now.
Would be nice to have them admit they screwed up and bring back ‘bags fly free’! Then upgrade the interior of the planes to the 21st century!
Picard
LUV stock is up 80% in the past year and 30% since the first of this year -just 40 days old. Not many stocks have done that.
AA can only wish it had someone that could see the potential in AA and invest in it to be able to force change.
WN will be fine. AA, probably not so much.
@Jean luc Picard — Make it so!
@Tim Dunn — Real companies don’t like ‘pump n’ dump’ schemes, sir…
Quelle Surprise!
They cooked the books to raise the stock price….and exit when they know the underlying numbers and future quarters are bleak….
WN does have an opportunity to back track on the bags thing….and basic economy….but i think the damage has been done…..
When 2 BODs immediately resign…shows elliot is selling and selling it all quickly over the next month or so….i see them exit thier position by end of april…..as fast as they can….
i beleive they bought the stock at around 30 dollars a share – as of today its 54….so they made money….ruined a company and thousands of employees lives over thier wall street greed….its why main street hates wall street…..
And yet…………….THEIR PLANES WERE FULL every frigging time I flew them. Funny how you continue to pimp the idea that they were failing by not having this or that or something else but then you say they were the most financially successful airline in history.
Maybe…………..just MAYBE they knew what the hell they were doing. It’s bad enough the Elliot morons shot the company straight into the crapper but you continually point out all the things they did/do “wrong” and still people fly/flew them enough for them to NEVER LAY AN EMPLOYEE OFF until Elliot put their stink on them.
The question still remains: will they do what they clearly need to survive in the long run and add a full-service domestic first class cabin with all that entails? It’s been talked about lately, but no progress so far.
Let me guess… the private equity bros struck again?