New Golden Age For Frequent Flyers Is Just Around The Corner

Mar 17 2020

A lot of people are grounded right now. Most of us are going to travel again. And we’re sure going to be itching to do so.

No matter what happens with the business of any of the airlines, we’re going to have big airlines to take us where we want to go. They are going to have tons of empty seats for awhile – which means deep discounts, award availability, and aggressive mileage promotions.

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Paid Travel Subscriptions Need To Waive Fees For Several Months (Or Else You Should Cancel Now)

gogo plane
Mar 17 2020

Suspending paid services like Gogo and Expert Flyer makes sense. Don’t spend money on a service you aren’t using right now. From a travel company’s perspective they can generate some revenue from customers who forget to cancel, but it’s better to keep all of their customers long term by making it unnecessary to cancel. Many who give up the services temporarily won’t come back

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Virgin Atlantic Launches Status And Bonus Miles Promotions While Seeking Government Bailout

virgin atlantic
Mar 16 2020

Delta-controlled Virgin Atlantic has its hand out for government subsidies on the one hand, while running new bonus miles and elite qualifying promotions on the other.

I still think it’s too early to move the needle on travel with promotions, but Virgin is in a different boat than U.S. programs whose status years run with the calendar. They don’t have the option of waiting to extend elite status.

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14 Things You Need To Know About Working From Home But Were Afraid To Ask

laptop
Mar 16 2020

Work from home tips are like a cottage industry now, but I’ve got a real head start on you and I think I can offer solid concrete advice. I transitioned out of being in the office every day back in 2014, and I’ve worked from home and on the road ever since. It’s the best decision I ever made, but it isn’t for everyone and it isn’t ‘natural’ for someone that isn’t used to it. Some people thrive, and others flounder.

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Important Principles For Government Aid To The Airline Industry

Mar 16 2020

What we care about as a society is that an airline industry exists. The reason for government intervention is to prevent economic contagion (the spread of one failure to another). That was the argument for bailing out banks during the financial crisis, and it doesn’t exist in the same dimension with airlines. Nonetheless the industry is an important one once we’re ready to recover.

However the planes will still exist. The airports and gates will still exist. Skilled pilots and mechanics will still need work. The only reason to intervene will come later, if at all. Once airlines are in bankruptcy the relevant question is if they keep flying. And that’s dependent on available new capital during the bankruptcy process. Shareholders should take their haircut first.

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Is Not Cutting Flights As Deeply As Competitors A Brilliant Strategy Right Now? [Speculative]

Mar 16 2020

The normal approach is to cut spending everywhere possible, from capital expenditures to labor. It’s harder to cut employee salaries but Delta is throttling down spend on contracting firms and consultants. It is parking up to 300 planes.

So far flight loads haven’t been as bad as you’d expect, overall think of planes as 60% full towards the end of last week. That’s probably higher than we’ll see going forward.

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