I’m Writing From an American Airlines Flight I Thought Would Cancel — Here’s Data on What FAA Flight Cuts Look Like Today

I’m writing from onboard an American Airlines Embraer E-170 regional jet. I was worried my flight would be cancelled today because of the requirement to reduce flying in the United States as air traffic controllers do not show up to work during the government shutdown.

It was always a low probability event: in the first day of government-forced schedule reductions, airlines were expected to dump 4% of their schedules. Even if that leaned entirely on their regional operations for the reductions it was only going to mean fewer than 1 in 10 regional flights cancelled. There was a good chance I’d make it out. Still, I booked a mainline itinerary on another carrier as a backup – which I cancelled within 24 hours for a refund.

Data from aviation analytics company Cirium shows that 3% of flights were cancelled in advance on Friday, short of the Department of Transportation’s announced reduction of 4% (although that figure includes some non-commercial flying as well, and international flights are exempt from cancellation requirements).

There are 748 flights cancelled in advance on Friday, out of 25,375 scheduled. That’s bad, but over the past two years there have been over 70 days with more cancellations. By the end of the day this figure will certainly grow somewhat, but on average every week and a half there’s a day for cancellations that is worse than today though that’s often driven by weather.

Cancellations are heavily tilted towards short regional flights. Those affect fewer passengers than larger jets. And routes with multiple flights see cancellations where passengers can be moved to other services. That approach minimizes the still-disruptive effects of the last minute cancels.

Here are advance cancellations for today by airline (again, from Cirium):

Airline # Flights Cancels Cancel %
American 5,810 221 3.80%
Delta 4,607 173 3.76%
United 4,583 184 4.01%
Southwest 4,129 73 1.77%
Alaska 1,235 28 2.27%
JetBlue 727 24 3.30%
Frontier 706 25 3.54%
Spirit 455 1 0.22%
Allegiant 402 2 0.50%
Hawaiian 226 4 1.77%
Breeze 222 4

We’ll be seeing cancellations at a greater scale over the coming days, growing to 5% on Saturday and continuing until reaching 10%, unless the government shutdown ends before then.

Here are the flights that have been cancelled so far (by airline and route, sortable table):

Friday Nov 7
Airline Origin Destination Scheduled Cancelled Cancel %
United ABQ DEN 5 1 20.0%
United AMA DEN 2 1 50.0%
United ATL EWR 6 1 16.7%
United AUS IAH 8 1 12.5%
United BOS EWR 9 2 22.2%
United BUF EWR 3 1 33.3%
United BUF IAD 3 1 33.3%
United BUF ORD 4 1 25.0%
United BUR SFO 6 1 16.7%
United BWI ORD 3 1 33.3%
United CAE IAD 3 1 33.3%
United CLE IAD 4 1 25.0%
United CLE ORD 8 2 25.0%
United CLT IAD 4 1 25.0%
United CLT ORD 3 1 33.3%
United CMH IAH 3 1 33.3%
United COS DEN 12 4 33.3%
United CVG EWR 4 1 25.0%
United CVG ORD 7 1 14.3%
United DAY ORD 5 1 20.0%
United DCA EWR 10 2 20.0%
United DEN ABQ 5 1 20.0%
United DEN AMA 2 1 50.0%
United DEN COS 12 4 33.3%
United DEN DFW 6 1 16.7%
United DEN DRO 6 2 33.3%
United DEN GJT 6 2 33.3%
United DEN LSpirit 4 1 25.0%
United DEN MSP 5 1 20.0%
United DEN PDX 5 1 20.0%
United DEN PHX 8 1 12.5%
United DEN RAP 8 2 25.0%
United DEN SAF 4 1 25.0%
United DEN SEA 5 1 20.0%
United DEN SLC 7 1 14.3%
United DEN SMF 5 1 20.0%
United DFW DEN 6 1 16.7%
United DFW IAH 8 3 37.5%
United DRO DEN 6 2 33.3%
United DSM ORD 5 2 40.0%
United DTW EWR 5 1 20.0%
United DTW ORD 7 2 28.6%
United EWR ATL 6 1 16.7%
United EWR BOS 9 2 22.2%
United EWR BUF 3 1 33.3%
United EWR CVG 4 1 25.0%
United EWR DCA 10 2 20.0%
United EWR DTW 4 1 25.0%
United EWR FLL 8 1 12.5%
United EWR IND 6 1 16.7%
United EWR MCO 13 1 7.7%
United EWR MIA 7 1 14.3%
United EWR ORF 4 1 25.0%
United EWR PIT 8 1 12.5%
United EWR SJU 3 1 33.3%
United FAT SFO 4 1 25.0%
United FLL EWR 9 1 11.1%
United FLL IAH 6 1 16.7%
United GJT DEN 6 2 33.3%
United HRL IAH 4 1 25.0%
United IAD BUF 3 1 33.3%
United IAD CAE 3 1 33.3%
United IAD CLE 4 1 25.0%
United IAD LGA 4 2 50.0%
United IAD PHL 2 1 50.0%
United IAD PVD 3 1 33.3%
United IAD ROA 4 1 25.0%
United IAD ROC 4 1 25.0%
United IAH AUS 8 1 12.5%
United IAH CMH 3 1 33.3%
United IAH DFW 8 3 37.5%
United IAH FLL 6 1 16.7%
United IAH HRL 3 1 33.3%
United IAH MAF 7 1 14.3%
United IAH MEM 6 1 16.7%
United IAH MFE 7 1 14.3%
United IAH PHX 5 1 20.0%
United IAH SGF 4 1 25.0%
United IAH SHV 5 1 20.0%
United IND EWR 6 1 16.7%
United LAS LAX 5 1 20.0%
United LAS SFO 8 1 12.5%
United LAX LAS 5 1 20.0%
United LAX MRY 3 1 33.3%
United LAX RNO 2 1 50.0%
United LAX SAN 3 2 66.7%
United LAX SBA 2 1 50.0%
United LAX SBP 2 1 50.0%
United LGA IAD 4 2 50.0%
United LSpirit DEN 4 1 25.0%
United MAF IAH 7 1 14.3%
United MCO EWR 13 1 7.7%
United MEM IAH 6 1 16.7%
United MFE IAH 7 1 14.3%
United MIA EWR 7 1 14.3%
United MLI ORD 5 1 20.0%
United MRY LAX 3 1 33.3%
United MSN ORD 8 1 12.5%
United MSP DEN 5 1 20.0%
United OMA ORD 5 1 20.0%
United ONT SFO 3 1 33.3%
United ORD BUF 4 1 25.0%
United ORD BWI 3 1 33.3%
United ORD CLE 8 2 25.0%
United ORD CLT 3 1 33.3%
United ORD CVG 7 1 14.3%
United ORD DAY 5 1 20.0%
United ORD DSM 5 2 40.0%
United ORD DTW 7 2 28.6%
United ORD IND 8 1 12.5%
United ORD MBJ 1 1 100.0%
United ORD MLI 5 1 20.0%
United ORD MSN 8 1 12.5%
United ORD OMA 5 1 20.0%
United ORD PIA 5 1 20.0%
United ORD SDF 5 1 20.0%
United ORF EWR 4 1 25.0%
United PDX DEN 5 1 20.0%
United PHL IAD 2 1 50.0%
United PHX DEN 8 1 12.5%
United PHX IAH 5 1 20.0%
United PIA ORD 5 1 20.0%
United PIT EWR 8 1 12.5%
United PVD IAD 3 1 33.3%
United RAP DEN 8 2 25.0%
United RNO LAX 2 1 50.0%
United RNO SFO 6 2 33.3%
United ROA IAD 4 1 25.0%
United ROC IAD 4 1 25.0%
United SAF DEN 4 1 25.0%
United SAN LAX 3 2 66.7%
United SBA LAX 2 1 50.0%
United SBP LAX 2 1 50.0%
United SDF ORD 5 1 20.0%
United SEA DEN 5 1 20.0%
United SFO BUR 6 1 16.7%
United SFO FAT 4 1 25.0%
United SFO LAS 8 1 12.5%
United SFO ONT 3 1 33.3%
United SFO RNO 6 2 33.3%
United SFO SMF 4 2 50.0%
United SFO SNA 7 2 28.6%
United SGF IAH 4 1 25.0%
United SHV IAH 5 1 20.0%
United SLC DEN 7 1 14.3%
United SMF DEN 5 1 20.0%
United SMF SFO 4 2 50.0%
United SNA SFO 7 2 28.6%
Spirit LAX ORD 1 1 100.0%
Southwest ABQ DAL 5 1 20.0%
Southwest ATL DEN 3 1 33.3%
Southwest ATL TPA 2 1 50.0%
Southwest BNA BWI 6 1 16.7%
Southwest BOS BWI 7 1 14.3%
Southwest BWI ALB 5 1 20.0%
Southwest BWI BOS 7 1 14.3%
Southwest BWI FLL 6 1 16.7%
Southwest BWI HOU 4 1 25.0%
Southwest BWI MCO 11 2 18.2%
Southwest BWI MDW 6 1 16.7%
Southwest BWI RDU 7 1 14.3%
Southwest DAL BWI 5 1 20.0%
Southwest DAL DCA 5 1 20.0%
Southwest DAL LAS 10 1 10.0%
Southwest DAL SAN 5 1 20.0%
Southwest DAL SDF 1 1 100.0%
Southwest DCA DAL 5 1 20.0%
Southwest DCA MDW 6 1 16.7%
Southwest DEN ATL 3 1 33.3%
Southwest DEN LAX 6 1 16.7%
Southwest DEN LBB 1 1 100.0%
Southwest DEN OAK 4 1 25.0%
Southwest DEN SLC 7 1 14.3%
Southwest DEN TUS 4 1 25.0%
Southwest DTW MDW 3 1 33.3%
Southwest FLL BWI 7 1 14.3%
Southwest HNL KOA 5 1 20.0%
Southwest HOU DAL 12 1 8.3%
Southwest HOU DEN 7 1 14.3%
Southwest HOU LAS 7 1 14.3%
Southwest IND DEN 4 1 25.0%
Southwest IND MCO 5 2 40.0%
Southwest KOA HNL 5 1 20.0%
Southwest LAS HOU 7 1 14.3%
Southwest LAS PHX 10 1 10.0%
Southwest LAS SFO 4 1 25.0%
Southwest LAX PHX 6 1 16.7%
Southwest LAX SFO 4 1 25.0%
Southwest LGA DAL 4 1 25.0%
Southwest MCO BNA 7 1 14.3%
Southwest MCO IND 5 1 20.0%
Southwest MCO MDW 7 1 14.3%
Southwest MDW DCA 6 1 16.7%
Southwest MDW HOU 5 1 20.0%
Southwest MDW MSP 4 1 25.0%
Southwest MIA MCO 2 1 50.0%
Southwest OAK LAS 9 1 11.1%
Southwest OAK SAN 10 1 10.0%
Southwest ONT LAS 6 1 16.7%
Southwest ONT OAK 5 1 20.0%
Southwest PHL MCO 2 1 50.0%
Southwest PHX DEN 11 2 18.2%
Southwest PHX HOU 7 1 14.3%
Southwest PHX OAK 5 1 20.0%
Southwest PHX SAN 10 1 10.0%
Southwest PHX SLC 6 1 16.7%
Southwest RDU BWI 7 2 28.6%
Southwest RNO LAX 1 1 100.0%
Southwest SAN DAL 5 1 20.0%
Southwest SAN LAS 12 1 8.3%
Southwest SAN OAK 10 1 10.0%
Southwest SDF HOU 1 1 100.0%
Southwest SJC LAS 10 1 10.0%
Southwest TPA ATL 2 1 50.0%
Southwest TPA DAL 4 1 25.0%
Southwest TPA IND 2 1 50.0%
Southwest TPA PHL 1 1 100.0%
Southwest TUS DEN 4 1 25.0%
JetBlue ATL JFK 4 1 25.0%
JetBlue BOS ATL 3 1 33.3%
JetBlue BOS JFK 6 1 16.7%
JetBlue BOS MCO 7 1 14.3%
JetBlue BOS TPA 6 1 16.7%
JetBlue DCA FLL 4 1 25.0%
JetBlue EWR MCO 5 1 20.0%
JetBlue FLL ATL 3 1 33.3%
JetBlue FLL DCA 4 1 25.0%
JetBlue FLL EWR 2 1 50.0%
JetBlue FLL JFK 6 2 33.3%
JetBlue JFK BOS 6 1 16.7%
JetBlue JFK DCA 2 1 50.0%
JetBlue JFK LAX 10 1 10.0%
JetBlue JFK MBJ 3 1 33.3%
JetBlue JFK MCO 7 1 14.3%
JetBlue LAS JFK 4 1 25.0%
JetBlue LAX JFK 10 1 10.0%
JetBlue LGA FLL 4 1 25.0%
JetBlue MCO BOS 7 1 14.3%
JetBlue MCO JFK 7 1 14.3%
JetBlue TPA BOS 6 1 16.7%
Hawaiian HNL KOA 16 1 6.2%
Hawaiian HNL OGG 21 1 4.8%
Hawaiian KOA HNL 16 1 6.2%
Hawaiian OGG HNL 21 1 4.8%
Frontier ATL CVG 1 1 100.0%
Frontier ATL MIA 2 1 50.0%
Frontier ATL PHL 3 1 33.3%
Frontier AUS MCO 1 1 100.0%
Frontier CVG ATL 1 1 100.0%
Frontier DEN DFW 4 1 25.0%
Frontier DEN LAX 3 1 33.3%
Frontier DEN PHX 5 1 20.0%
Frontier DFW DEN 4 1 25.0%
Frontier IAH MIA 1 1 100.0%
Frontier LAS ORD 1 1 100.0%
Frontier LAS SFO 3 1 33.3%
Frontier LAX DEN 3 1 33.3%
Frontier LAX LAS 2 1 50.0%
Frontier MCO AUS 1 1 100.0%
Frontier MCO STL 2 1 50.0%
Frontier MIA ATL 2 1 50.0%
Frontier MIA IAH 1 1 100.0%
Frontier ORD LAS 1 1 100.0%
Frontier PHL ATL 3 1 33.3%
Frontier PHL TPA 4 1 25.0%
Frontier PHX DEN 5 1 20.0%
Frontier SFO LAX 2 1 50.0%
Frontier STL MCO 2 1 50.0%
Frontier TPA PHL 4 1 25.0%
Delta ABE ATL 3 1 33.3%
Delta ABR MSP 3 1 33.3%
Delta AEX ATL 3 1 33.3%
Delta AGS ATL 6 1 16.7%
Delta ATL ABE 3 1 33.3%
Delta ATL AEX 3 1 33.3%
Delta ATL AGS 6 1 16.7%
Delta ATL BTR 4 1 25.0%
Delta ATL CAE 6 1 16.7%
Delta ATL CHA 7 1 14.3%
Delta ATL DSM 4 1 25.0%
Delta ATL FAY 3 1 33.3%
Delta ATL GSO 7 1 14.3%
Delta ATL HPN 5 1 20.0%
Delta ATL JAN 6 1 16.7%
Delta ATL LFT 3 1 33.3%
Delta ATL MBJ 3 1 33.3%
Delta ATL MGM 4 1 25.0%
Delta ATL MIA 8 1 12.5%
Delta ATL MLB 4 1 25.0%
Delta ATL MLI 2 1 50.0%
Delta ATL MLU 3 1 33.3%
Delta ATL MOB 4 1 25.0%
Delta ATL MYR 4 1 25.0%
Delta ATL OAJ 3 1 33.3%
Delta ATL ROA 4 1 25.0%
Delta ATL SGF 3 1 33.3%
Delta ATL SHV 4 1 25.0%
Delta ATL TLH 5 1 20.0%
Delta ATL TRI 4 1 25.0%
Delta ATL VLD 3 1 33.3%
Delta ATL VPS 6 1 16.7%
Delta BNA JFK 4 1 25.0%
Delta BOI SLC 5 1 20.0%
Delta BOS CLT 3 1 33.3%
Delta BOS CVG 4 1 25.0%
Delta BOS EWR 3 1 33.3%
Delta BOS IND 3 1 33.3%
Delta BOS LGA 18 1 5.6%
Delta BTR ATL 4 1 25.0%
Delta BUF DTW 4 1 25.0%
Delta BUF JFK 4 1 25.0%
Delta BUR SLC 4 1 25.0%
Delta CAE ATL 6 1 16.7%
Delta CHA ATL 7 1 14.3%
Delta CLE DTW 5 1 20.0%
Delta CLE LGA 5 1 20.0%
Delta CLT BOS 3 1 33.3%
Delta CVG BOS 4 1 25.0%
Delta DCA LGA 7 2 28.6%
Delta DeltaH MSP 4 1 25.0%
Delta DEN LAX 3 1 33.3%
Delta DFW DTW 4 1 25.0%
Delta DSM ATL 4 1 25.0%
Delta DTW BUF 4 1 25.0%
Delta DTW CLE 5 1 20.0%
Delta DTW DFW 4 1 25.0%
Delta DTW FLL 5 1 20.0%
Delta DTW JFK 4 1 25.0%
Delta DTW MBS 4 1 25.0%
Delta DTW MDW 3 1 33.3%
Delta DTW OMA 4 1 25.0%
Delta DTW ORD 5 1 20.0%
Delta DTW SDF 3 1 33.3%
Delta DTW TPA 5 1 20.0%
Delta EUG SEA 3 1 33.3%
Delta EWR BOS 3 1 33.3%
Delta FAY ATL 3 1 33.3%
Delta FLL DTW 5 1 20.0%
Delta FSD MSP 5 1 20.0%
Delta GRB MSP 3 1 33.3%
Delta GSO ATL 7 1 14.3%
Delta GSO LGA 4 1 25.0%
Delta GSP LGA 4 1 25.0%
Delta HPN ATL 5 1 20.0%
Delta ICT MSP 2 1 50.0%
Delta IND BOS 3 1 33.3%
Delta JAN ATL 6 1 16.7%
Delta JFK BNA 4 1 25.0%
Delta JFK BUF 4 1 25.0%
Delta JFK DTW 4 1 25.0%
Delta JFK ORF 3 1 33.3%
Delta JFK RDU 4 1 25.0%
Delta JFK SYR 3 1 33.3%
Delta LAS MSP 5 1 20.0%
Delta LAX DEN 3 1 33.3%
Delta LAX PDX 4 1 25.0%
Delta LAX PHX 4 1 25.0%
Delta LAX SAN 4 1 25.0%
Delta LFT ATL 3 1 33.3%
Delta LGA BOS 18 1 5.6%
Delta LGA CLE 5 1 20.0%
Delta LGA DCA 7 2 28.6%
Delta LGA GSO 4 1 25.0%
Delta LGA GSP 4 1 25.0%
Delta LGA MCO 6 1 16.7%
Delta LGA OMA 3 1 33.3%
Delta LGA PIT 6 1 16.7%
Delta LGA RIC 5 1 20.0%
Delta LIT SLC 1 1 100.0%
Delta MBS DTW 4 1 25.0%
Delta MCI MSP 4 1 25.0%
Delta MCO LGA 6 1 16.7%
Delta MDW DTW 3 1 33.3%
Delta MGM ATL 4 1 25.0%
Delta MIA ATL 8 1 12.5%
Delta MLB ATL 4 1 25.0%
Delta MLI ATL 2 1 50.0%
Delta MLU ATL 3 1 33.3%
Delta MOB ATL 4 1 25.0%
Delta MOT MSP 4 1 25.0%
Delta MSN MSP 4 1 25.0%
Delta MSO SLC 3 1 33.3%
Delta MSP ABR 3 1 33.3%
Delta MSP DeltaH 4 1 25.0%
Delta MSP FSD 5 1 20.0%
Delta MSP GRB 3 1 33.3%
Delta MSP ICT 2 1 50.0%
Delta MSP LAS 5 1 20.0%
Delta MSP MCI 4 1 25.0%
Delta MSP MOT 4 1 25.0%
Delta MSP MSN 4 1 25.0%
Delta MSP RST 3 1 33.3%
Delta MSP TYS 2 1 50.0%
Delta MSP XNA 2 1 50.0%
Delta MYR ATL 4 1 25.0%
Delta OAJ ATL 3 1 33.3%
Delta OMA DTW 4 1 25.0%
Delta OMA LGA 3 1 33.3%
Delta ORD DTW 5 1 20.0%
Delta ORF JFK 3 1 33.3%
Delta PDX LAX 4 1 25.0%
Delta PHX LAX 4 1 25.0%
Delta PIT LGA 6 1 16.7%
Delta PSC SEA 3 1 33.3%
Delta PSP SLC 3 1 33.3%
Delta RDM SEA 3 1 33.3%
Delta RDU JFK 4 1 25.0%
Delta RIC LGA 5 1 20.0%
Delta ROA ATL 4 1 25.0%
Delta RST MSP 3 1 33.3%
Delta SAN LAX 4 1 25.0%
Delta SDF DTW 3 1 33.3%
Delta SEA EUG 3 1 33.3%
Delta SEA RDM 3 1 33.3%
Delta SEA SFO 5 1 20.0%
Delta SEA SNA 4 1 25.0%
Delta SFO SEA 5 1 20.0%
Delta SGF ATL 3 1 33.3%
Delta SHV ATL 4 1 25.0%
Delta SJC SLC 4 1 25.0%
Delta SLC BOI 5 1 20.0%
Delta SLC BUR 4 1 25.0%
Delta SLC LIT 1 1 100.0%
Delta SLC MSO 3 1 33.3%
Delta SLC PSC 3 1 33.3%
Delta SLC PSP 3 1 33.3%
Delta SLC SJC 4 1 25.0%
Delta SLC TUS 3 2 66.7%
Delta SNA SEA 4 1 25.0%
Delta SYR JFK 3 1 33.3%
Delta TLH ATL 5 1 20.0%
Delta TPA DTW 5 1 20.0%
Delta TRI ATL 4 1 25.0%
Delta TUS SLC 3 2 66.7%
Delta TYS MSP 2 1 50.0%
Delta VLD ATL 3 1 33.3%
Delta VPS ATL 6 1 16.7%
Delta XNA MSP 2 1 50.0%
Condor JFK FRA 1 1 100.0%
Cape Air BOS EWB 2 1 50.0%
Cape Air HYA JFK 1 1 100.0%
Cape Air JFK HYA 1 1 100.0%
Breeze EVV MCO 1 1 100.0%
Breeze MCO EVV 1 1 100.0%
Breeze MSY TPA 1 1 100.0%
Breeze TPA MSY 1 1 100.0%
American ABQ LAX 2 1 50.0%
American ACT DFW 3 2 66.7%
American AGS CLT 4 1 25.0%
American ALB ORD 4 1 25.0%
American AMA DFW 6 1 16.7%
American ATL CLT 4 1 25.0%
American ATL DCA 6 1 16.7%
American ATL PHL 5 1 20.0%
American ATW ORD 4 1 25.0%
American BFL PHX 4 2 50.0%
American BHM DCA 3 1 33.3%
American BHM DFW 7 1 14.3%
American BOS DCA 10 1 10.0%
American BOS JFK 4 2 50.0%
American BOS LGA 6 1 16.7%
American BOS ORD 9 1 11.1%
American BOS PHL 8 1 12.5%
American BRO DFW 4 1 25.0%
American BUF LGA 3 1 33.3%
American BUF PHL 3 1 33.3%
American BUR PHX 2 1 50.0%
American BWI ORD 4 1 25.0%
American CAE CLT 7 1 14.3%
American CHA CLT 6 1 16.7%
American CLE DCA 5 1 20.0%
American CLE ORD 7 1 14.3%
American CLT AGS 4 1 25.0%
American CLT ATL 4 1 25.0%
American CLT CAE 7 1 14.3%
American CLT CHA 6 1 16.7%
American CLT EWN 5 1 20.0%
American CLT FAY 6 1 16.7%
American CLT FLO 3 1 33.3%
American CLT GSP 7 1 14.3%
American CLT HTS 3 1 33.3%
American CLT LIT 4 1 25.0%
American CLT MYR 7 1 14.3%
American CLT PHF 4 1 25.0%
American CLT PNS 6 1 16.7%
American CLT ROA 8 1 12.5%
American CLT SAV 8 1 12.5%
American CLT SDF 5 1 20.0%
American CLT TRI 5 1 20.0%
American CLT XNA 4 1 25.0%
American CMI ORD 4 1 25.0%
American CRP DFW 6 1 16.7%
American CVG ORD 7 2 28.6%
American CVG PHL 4 1 25.0%
American DCA ATL 6 1 16.7%
American DCA BOS 10 1 10.0%
American DCA CLE 5 1 20.0%
American DCA DTW 5 1 20.0%
American DCA HPN 4 1 25.0%
American DCA IAH 3 1 33.3%
American DCA IND 6 1 16.7%
American DCA MCI 3 1 33.3%
American DCA PVD 5 1 20.0%
American DCA RDU 6 1 16.7%
American DEN LAX 3 2 66.7%
American DFW ACT 3 2 66.7%
American DFW AMA 6 1 16.7%
American DFW BHM 6 1 16.7%
American DFW BRO 4 1 25.0%
American DFW CRP 6 1 16.7%
American DFW FLL 5 1 20.0%
American DFW FSM 3 1 33.3%
American DFW GRK 6 1 16.7%
American DFW HOU 6 1 16.7%
American DFW IAH 9 1 11.1%
American DFW ICT 7 1 14.3%
American DFW MAF 8 1 12.5%
American DFW MHK 3 1 33.3%
American DFW SAN 8 1 12.5%
American DFW SAT 11 1 9.1%
American DFW SDF 5 1 20.0%
American DFW SGF 9 1 11.1%
American DFW SHV 5 1 20.0%
American DFW SPS 2 1 50.0%
American DFW TUL 7 1 14.3%
American DFW TXK 2 1 50.0%
American DFW TYR 3 1 33.3%
American DFW XNA 10 2 20.0%
American DTW DCA 5 1 20.0%
American EWN CLT 5 1 20.0%
American EWR ORD 4 1 25.0%
American EYW MIA 4 1 25.0%
American FAY CLT 6 1 16.7%
American FLG PHX 4 1 25.0%
American FLO CLT 3 1 33.3%
American FSM DFW 3 1 33.3%
American GRK DFW 6 1 16.7%
American GSO CLT 8 1 12.5%
American GSP CLT 8 1 12.5%
American HOU DFW 6 1 16.7%
American HSV DCA 4 1 25.0%
American HTS CLT 3 1 33.3%
American IAH DCA 3 1 33.3%
American IAH DFW 9 1 11.1%
American ICT DFW 7 1 14.3%
American ILM PHL 3 1 33.3%
American IND DCA 6 1 16.7%
American IND ORD 6 1 16.7%
American JAX PHL 3 1 33.3%
American JFK BOS 4 2 50.0%
American JFK ORF 2 1 50.0%
American JFK PIT 2 1 50.0%
American LAS PHX 5 1 20.0%
American LAX ABQ 2 1 50.0%
American LAX DEN 3 2 66.7%
American LAX SFO 5 1 20.0%
American LAX SMF 3 1 33.3%
American LGA BOS 6 1 16.7%
American LGA BUF 3 1 33.3%
American LGA OKC 2 1 50.0%
American LGA STL 3 1 33.3%
American LGA TUL 2 1 50.0%
American LGA XNA 3 1 33.3%
American LIT CLT 4 1 25.0%
American LSE ORD 3 1 33.3%
American MAF DFW 8 1 12.5%
American MCO MIA 9 1 11.1%
American MEM ORD 4 1 25.0%
American MIA EYW 4 1 25.0%
American MIA MCO 9 1 11.1%
American MIA PNS 4 2 50.0%
American MIA SAV 3 1 33.3%
American MIA TPA 10 2 20.0%
American MKE ORD 6 1 16.7%
American MLI ORD 3 1 33.3%
American MSP ORD 6 1 16.7%
American MYR CLT 7 1 14.3%
American OKC LGA 2 1 50.0%
American OMA ORD 4 1 25.0%
American ORD ALB 4 1 25.0%
American ORD ATW 4 1 25.0%
American ORD AVP 2 1 50.0%
American ORD BOS 9 1 11.1%
American ORD BWI 4 1 25.0%
American ORD CLE 7 2 28.6%
American ORD CMI 4 1 25.0%
American ORD CVG 7 2 28.6%
American ORD EWR 4 1 25.0%
American ORD GRR 6 1 16.7%
American ORD IND 6 1 16.7%
American ORD LSE 3 1 33.3%
American ORD MEM 4 1 25.0%
American ORD MKE 6 1 16.7%
American ORD MLI 3 1 33.3%
American ORD MSP 6 1 16.7%
American ORD OMA 4 1 25.0%
American ORF CLT 6 1 16.7%
American ORF JFK 2 1 50.0%
American PHF CLT 4 1 25.0%
American PHL ATL 5 1 20.0%
American PHL BOS 8 1 12.5%
American PHL BTV 3 1 33.3%
American PHL BUF 3 1 33.3%
American PHL CVG 4 1 25.0%
American PHL DTW 3 1 33.3%
American PHL ILM 3 1 33.3%
American PHL PIT 5 1 20.0%
American PHL STL 3 1 33.3%
American PHL SYR 3 1 33.3%
American PHX BFL 4 2 50.0%
American PHX BUR 2 1 50.0%
American PHX FLG 4 1 25.0%
American PHX LAS 5 1 20.0%
American PHX PSP 4 1 25.0%
American PHX RNO 4 1 25.0%
American PHX SBA 4 1 25.0%
American PHX SBP 4 1 25.0%
American PHX YUM 5 2 40.0%
American PIT JFK 2 1 50.0%
American PIT PHL 5 1 20.0%
American PNS CLT 6 1 16.7%
American PNS MIA 4 2 50.0%
American PSP PHX 4 1 25.0%
American PVD DCA 5 1 20.0%
American RNO PHX 4 1 25.0%
American ROA CLT 8 1 12.5%
American SAT DFW 11 1 9.1%
American SAV MIA 3 1 33.3%
American SBA PHX 4 1 25.0%
American SBP PHX 4 1 25.0%
American SDF CLT 5 1 20.0%
American SDF DFW 5 1 20.0%
American SFO LAX 5 1 20.0%
American SGF DFW 9 1 11.1%
American SHV DFW 5 1 20.0%
American SMF LAX 3 1 33.3%
American SPS DFW 2 1 50.0%
American STL DCA 4 1 25.0%
American STL LGA 3 1 33.3%
American SYR PHL 3 1 33.3%
American TPA MIA 10 2 20.0%
American TRI CLT 6 1 16.7%
American TUL DFW 7 1 14.3%
American TUL LGA 2 1 50.0%
American TYR DFW 3 1 33.3%
American XNA DFW 10 2 20.0%
American XNA LGA 3 1 33.3%
American YUM PHX 5 2 40.0%
Allegiant LAS LRD 1 1 100.0%
Allegiant LRD LAS 1 1 100.0%
Alaska BLI SEA 4 1 25.0%
Alaska BOI PDX 5 1 20.0%
Alaska GEG SEA 10 2 20.0%
Alaska LAS LAX 6 1 16.7%
Alaska LAX LAS 6 1 16.7%
Alaska LAX SFO 7 1 14.3%
Alaska OAK SEA 4 1 25.0%
Alaska ONT SEA 4 1 25.0%
Alaska PDX BOI 5 1 20.0%
Alaska PDX SEA 11 1 9.1%
Alaska PDX SJC 5 1 20.0%
Alaska PHX SAN 4 1 25.0%
Alaska SAN PHX 4 1 25.0%
Alaska SAN SFO 8 2 25.0%
Alaska SAN SMF 6 1 16.7%
Alaska SEA BLI 4 1 25.0%
Alaska SEA GEG 10 2 20.0%
Alaska SEA OAK 4 1 25.0%
Alaska SEA ONT 4 1 25.0%
Alaska SEA PDX 11 1 9.1%
Alaska SFO LAX 7 1 14.3%
Alaska SFO SAN 8 2 25.0%
Alaska SJC PDX 5 1 20.0%
Alaska SMF SAN 6 1 16.7%

Via Reddit, here are United’s flight cancellations mapped: (HT: Enilria)

Despite the reductions, we’ve already got delay programs due to air traffic control staffing issues at Washington National airport and in Austin already today. Staffing has been an issue for twenty years, long predating the current government shutdown, and the FAA has done very little to address the lack of training seats at their academy among other challenges.

So far 1.7% of Saturday’s commercial flights have been cancelled, though this is expected to grow to around 5%.

About Gary Leff

Gary Leff is one of the foremost experts in the field of miles, points, and frequent business travel - a topic he has covered since 2002. Co-founder of frequent flyer community InsideFlyer.com, emcee of the Freddie Awards, and named one of the "World's Top Travel Experts" by Conde' Nast Traveler (2010-Present) Gary has been a guest on most major news media, profiled in several top print publications, and published broadly on the topic of consumer loyalty. More About Gary »

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Comments

  1. Makes sense to cancel RJ flights, fewer passenger to reaccommodate but you may be at a small airport like SFE or YUM and there’s only 2-3 flights a day to a single or two hubs. Right now sitting in the AA FL at MIA. My plane just landed at and is coming from LGA and LGA is showing 15 minute departure delays. I have a connection this evening in DFW.

    Best advice, know your options. Get to the airport early, particularly if you have an airline lounge membership. Find out the path of your plane and monitor it. Be ready to jump if you need to. Don’t wait until you’re at the gate and it’s all turned to fecal matter.

  2. Do you know if the duty to cancel flights into these major airports falls exclusively on US-based carriers? I would think that Lufthansa, Air France, British Airways, etc, would not be in the first round of cancellations, but I’m not sure.

  3. Gary, thank you for the consolidated list.

    I think it’s important to remember that Bryan Bedford is running the FAA and he knows extremely well how the airlines work. Gary has an outstanding point – 70 days with more disruption in the year already. This exercise, with advance notice and benefit of planning I think in reality makes for a very good media doomsday piece without, in reality, really inconveniencing that many people and in a way making remaining operations more stable with crews (already being paid this close in) available for reassignment where contracts allow, hot spares, etc.

    Loads probably fairly light anyway. Heck, I was supposed to travel today through Monday on 7 UA/AA flights (and an AA bus) but am not feeling well so postponing anyway, but except for a EWR-ORD on UA, my upgrades cleared at the window on everything. Not that I cared as I had an exit row to myself on most flights anyway.

    CNN is set up a DCA showing the “floods of people dealing with widespread cancelations.” If you look at the data, that just isn’t happening. The pain is spread pretty evenly. This is maximum chest thumping and hand wringing over minimal actual customer impact, in my view.

  4. International flights operating by US carriers and foreign carriers are exempt although international flights could be cancelled anyway for other reasons

    The DOJ is providing antitrust immunity so that US airlines can discuss which flights to cancel.

  5. We checked in for our flight tomorrow PBI-ATL-RDU. DL says in a banner on the check-in page that it has cancelled the necessary flights for both Friday and Saturday, and informed passengers.

    @Raphael Solomon: FAA says international flights (both domestically and foreign operated) are exempt – for now.

  6. None of this is necessary. It’s all a manufactured crisis because Republicans have so far chosen to hold the country hostage by not earning Senate Democrats votes on a bi-partisan budget. They could end this today. Safe travels.

  7. Thanks for the list, Gary — I was just searching for a consolidated one to see if there was a pattern. Reddit map is helpful too.

    Good luck @George Romey @NedsKid (and feel better) @Retired Lawyer etc. You too @1990 if you haven’t reached your final destination. I have 5 flights scheduled next week, let’s see how it goes!

    @Tim Dunn — very interesting tidbit on the antitrust immunity.

    Safe travels everyone

  8. as is typical of this corrupt administration, they would rather disrupt air travel and 100’s of thousands of citizens, than actually try coming to the table to negotiate, all while protecting an already convicted felon from the Epsein files.

  9. I think it’s important to remember that Bryan Bedford is running the FAA and he knows extremely well how the airlines work. Gary has an outstanding point – 70 days with more disruption in the year already. This exercise, with advance notice and benefit of planning I think in reality makes for a very good media doomsday piece without, in reality, really inconveniencing that many people and in a way making remaining operations more stable with crews (already being paid this close in) available for reassignment where contracts allow, hot spares, etc.

    Yes, but what if the goal is to cause disruptions with the Holiday Season coming up? Especially if said disruptions can be blamed on the “Libs”?

  10. The democrats are driving this country into a brick wall, they are willing to kill us all just to prevent trump from getting a win.

    End the democrat shutdown, they are terrorists.

    Airlines should ban all democrat politicians from being allowed to fly until they open up the government.

  11. @Denver Refugee

    well it is their fault, they refuse to vote on CR bill that would fund the government.

  12. @ 1990 – The extent to which you can pretzel twist logic is really impressive. I certainly hope your profession isn’t a serious one because I for one certainly wouldn’t want you in charge of anything consequential in life. The Democrats are the ones holding a gun to the head of government funding, full stop. And I’d bet good money that you trashed Republicans full force when they pulled the same nonsense back in 2013.

  13. Apart for all the political aspects and opinions about “blame” (hey, lack of real leadership on all sides, I’d say), I give kudos to Scott Kirby and the United Team for excellent communications this week about their process, status, and cancellations’ outcomes.

  14. @Don B — Naw, Acela is far better and more reliable than driving or any of those 1-hour frequently delayed DCA-LGA/JFK ‘shuttle’ flights; ORD, still gotta fly.

  15. @Mike Hunt — Pretzel Logic is literally my favorite Steely Dan song, so, that makes about as much sense as anything. *wink*

  16. Gary – this info is great. Will you publish these lists every day? I know that’s a lot to ask, but for those of us who travel a lot and have upcoming travel, it’s very helpful

  17. I’ve got a TPA to home connecting flight on AA Tuesday. I’m hopeful. Fortunately, AA can get me home by connecting through CLT, DCA, DFW, LGA, MIA, ORD, and PHL All of those are on the list (unlike my homeport), but all have >1 n/s home. And, it is not like I have to be at work Wednesday.
    BTW, on the way out I took DL in F through ATL, with two ~80 minutes scheduled legs. Drinks offered during boarding, with a second round of drinks in the air. Two passes with snacks. And, when I turned down a beverage during boarding on one leg, the FA checked again after serving others just in case he missed me by mistake. [Please do not read this as pro or con any airline, just an observation it can/does get done right.]

  18. @ Mike Hunt — The Republicans are 100% the party responsible for this. The Democarats should not cave to these evil people. I gather that you are fine with 400%+ increases in health insuarnce premiums for 60 year olds? THESE ARE REAL NUMBERS AND REAL PEOPLE. Yeah, if the increase was from $5 to $25, no biggie, but the increases are from $6,000 to $30,000. How dare citizens of the wealthiest country in the world be able to afford healthcare. The audacity! Let them eat cake.

  19. When American Airlines cancels a flight that is actually operated on a luxury bus by The Landline Company, does the airline data analytics company Cirium count it as a flight to help meet the FAA flight-reduction mandate?

    The buses connect Philadelphia International Airport to five regional airports: Allentown/Bethlehem, Pennsylvania; Atlantic City, New Jersey; Trenton-Mercer, New Jersey; Wilkes-Barre/Scranton, Pennsylvania; and Wilmington, Delaware. There are also connections between Chicago O’Hare and Rockford, Illinois, and South Bend, Indiana.

  20. @Gene – You’re conflating moral outrage with economic reality. Nobody is saying healthcare costs don’t matter. They do. What I’m saying is that pretending trillion-dollar spending and bureaucratic micromanagement will fix it is fantasy. Yes, premiums have skyrocketed for 60-year-olds. That’s not because of Republicans refusing to “care,” it’s because the Affordable Care Act distorted the insurance market. When you force insurers to cover everything for everyone at the same price, you eliminate competition and drive costs through the roof. That’s not cruelty, that’s basic economics.

    And no, refusing to pass a clean CR is not moral courage. It’s legislative blackmail by another name. Democrats can posture about compassion all they want, but shutting down the government doesn’t make healthcare cheaper. It just makes everything else worse. If you actually want lower premiums, you need more competition, transparent pricing, and innovation. Those are things the government tends to crush, not create. Compassion without competence isn’t virtue. It’s theater.

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